Forex Blog

October 26, 2011

Finance Minister Says No Recession Likely for Canada

Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told a press conference on Tuesday that despite uncertainty in the Eurozone and a slowing U.S. economy, he expects Canada will remain resistant to recession. Nevertheless, the Finance Minister noted that he is prepared to act if necessary noting that the government will consider further stimulus spending if conditions warrant.

Despite the Minister’s optimism, recent feedback shows that the Canadian economy is slowing with a more modest level of growth now expected in the coming months. Acknowledging the revised outlook, the Minister noted that the government will keep close tabs on the situation and is prepared, if necessary, to provide stimulus as was done during the previous recession.

Comments from Bank of Canada

On the topic of stimulus spending, the Bank of Canada voted to maintain the current 1 percent overnight rate noting that “considerable stimulus” remains in the Canadian economy. This was due to previous government spending and the continuation of record-low interest rates. This comment was taken as a sign that the Bank of Canada does not intend to intervene at this point and interest rates are expected to remain unchanged well into next year.

The Bank of Canada statement did raise eyebrows, however, with a prediction that the Eurozone would likely fall back into recession next year. While the Bank expects the recession in Europe to be short-lived, the potential impact of negative growth in the Eurozone, together with a downgraded outlook for U.S. growth, were cited as potential risks to growth in Canada.

December 31, 2009

British Pound Rebound!

Filed under: Forex News — Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , — admin @ 7:26 am

Happy New Year!

This mornings biggest gainer so far is the British pound (GBP), trading up 1.15% vs. the Japanese yen (JPY) and .80% vs. the US dollar (USD).  There’s also some Japanese yen weakness, as its down across the board, most notably against the commodity currencies (Aussie, Kiwi, & Loonie).

So what does all of this mean for the year end?  Not much.  Because volumes are light, I am seeing the continuation of trend where there is a fundamental story– Japanese yen for example– and seeing some short covering and technical bounces in currencies where the fundamentals are less clear.  The gains in the Euro and GBP are examples of this.

And lastly, some bounces in the commodity currencies (Aussie, Kiwi, and Loonie) are taking place after the recent dollar strength.  It appears as though the market is in the mood for risk taking and is seeking out higher-yielding currencies.  This comes on the heels of the “Santa Claus” rally in stocks so the market is anticipating gains for the beginning of the New Year.

As I mentioned yesterday, much of this appears to be “mean reversion” trades, as the currency pairs move away from extremes and back toward the middle  of  their recent ranges.  This could mean we will see some sideways action for the start of 2010, as the macro themes begin to play out.

The major themes for the 2010 will be inflation, GDP growth, interest rates, possible debt defaults, and budget deficits.  In other words, basic economics LOL!

I’ll discuss these themes in greater depth in 2010 but for now I’m going to keep my trading short-term and will not be carrying any positions into the New Year.

So make this year’s New Year’s Resolution to get educated about the forex market!!!!  There are numerous opportunities to profit from this market just by watching the news and knowing what action to take!

Don’t waste another year trying to analyze stocks only to find out that the company has been cooking the books or providing false information or paying their executives GINORMOUS bonuses!

Get involved in the forex market!!!  It’s as simple as reward the countries that are in good financial conditions, and “punishing” those that aren’t.

If you’re not certain where to begin, check out our currency trading courses here!

Would you like to check out the market first in a consequence free environment?  Get a free, real-time practice trading account here!

There is NO OBLIGATION and you have nothing to lose!  So try it today!

Have a Happy and Safe New Year!!!

Tags: account, Aussie, course, currenc, currencies, currency, currency trading, dollar, dow, EUR, Euro, forex, fx, fxedu, gbp, Il, interest, interest rate, jpy, market, Mike Conlon, pair, practice, ssi, time, trade, trades, trend, USD, Yen

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