Forex Blog

November 24, 2009

Loonie Weaker on Faltering Oil Prices

The Canadian dollar – known as the “loonie” – lost ground to the US dollar today as oil prices fell as investors wait for key economic news from the US. The loonie fell 0.2 percent to C$1.0577 per U.S. dollar at 8:07 a.m. in Toronto, from C$1.0556 yesterday. One Canadian dollar buys 94.56 U.S. cents.

“This looks like a general market move, and crude is volatile,” said Bank of Nova Scotia’s Sacha Tihanyi, whose firm is Canada’s third-largest lender. “We await U.S. GDP to see if we get some Canadian dollar support off of it, if it’s positive.”

US Economy Expands But Slower Than Projected

The Commerce Department reported today that the US economy expanded by a 2.8 percent annual rate in the third quarter. This was less than the 3.5 percent the government expected and reflects a smaller gain in consumer spending as well as a larger-than-projected trade deficit.

“We expect profits to continue climbing this quarter as GDP rises further,” Joseph Brusuelas, a director at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania, said before the report. “This will add momentum to the recovery by motivating firms to expand and hire again early next year.”

Bloomberg News

Oil Falls to $77 as Market Awaits News

Filed under: OANDA News — Tags: , , , , , , , — admin @ 6:45 am

Oil contracts for December deliver retreated to about $77.44 a barrel in Europe on Tuesday as the market waits for news that is expected to show that the US recovery has been slower than expected. Analysts also worry that the economy will weaken further in the new year as the government scales back on stimulus spending.

“The ceiling has been set by weak refining margins, lackluster demand and a global economic recovery that is expected to be sluggish,” Societe Generale said in a report.

Associated Press

September 1, 2009

Flight to Safety!

It looks like the flight to safety trade is in full effect today, with the Japanese Yen crosses and US Dollar leading the way, especially against the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, and NZD).  The US equity markets are down today but hopes are that the “September Effect” is not upon the equities markets.  The September Effect says that historically this month has been the worst month for US stocks.

Because of the correlations between the equities and currency markets, this could mean gains for the Japanese Yen and US Dollar.  It looks like AUD/USD was not able to close above resistance at .845 and we could be in for a double-top reversal at that level.

So keep your eyes on the US stock market, because if the September Effect does take hold, then it could be a wild ride for the commodity currencies.

none

August 26, 2009

GBP/USD Short Looking Good!

Just wanted to post a quick update on this trade that triggered yesterday.  We actually closed out a portion at 1.6175, for a 175 pip gain.  This pair is the biggest loser of the day so far (-1.04%), so it appears that other traders may have recognized the H&S pattern as well.   The reason we closed a portion was because of the doji that occurred on the 5-minute chart, and the stochastic cross that occurred as well.  See chart (click to enlarge)

ftb826.JPG

While this trade started out as a pattern on the daily chart, we chose to drop down to the 5-minute chart to manage the trade as our first profit target was hit.  Our trailing stop for the rest of the position is now at 1.6275, which is just above the most recent area of resistance, and also represents a 75 pip gain.  So basically this is now a risk free trade!

To learn how you can spot trades such as this one, check out our inexpensive currency course!

To get started with a live, free practice account, click here.

none

August 25, 2009

Trade triggered!

Well it looks like we didn’t have to wait very long for that possible GBP/USD H&S pattern to trigger a short sale. (See below) We are short this pair and looking for a major push down in the next day or two.  Our stop is placed just above 1.66 (above the top of the right hand shoulder) and we’ll be trailing the stop.  Check back in to see the progress of this trade.

none

August 24, 2009

Possible Head and Shoulders Pattern in GBP/USD?

A lot of times, especially during the summer slow months, there isn’t enough fundamental news to drive the markets and it’s times like these when the technicals can really take over.  Just doing a quick perusal of some charts, I came across this:  a possible head and shoulders pattern in GBP/USD.  Have a look:

gbphs.JPG

As you can see, this pattern isn’t “perfect”.  Yet it’s close enough to merit some observation in my book.  I’m going to keep an eye on this pair and will be shorting the breakdown around 1.635 should the pattern complete.  Stay tuned!

none

August 13, 2009

Powered by Efacilitators Hosting