Forex Blog

November 2, 2009

UK Purchasing Manager’s Index Shows Optimism

The UK-based Purchasing Manager’s Index – a measure of the buying habits of those responsible for securing materials for manufacturing firms – ventured into positive territory for the first time since November 2007 with a value of 53.7. Any index reading greater than 50.0 indicates a net increase in buying activity.

Despite the results, analysts are quick to point out that the British economy remains at a crossroads and recovery at this point is still far from certain.

“Job losses are still running at a fast rate and cost pressures are starting to re-emerge,” Rob Dobson, senior economist at Markit Economics, which gathered the survey data. “Official data show that manufacturing employment is at its lowest level since comparable records began and output is at its mid-1992 level,” Dobson said, adding that the road to recovery “is likely to be long and uncertain.”

October 30, 2009

US Consumer Spending Down 0.5%

The US Commerce Department said this morning that consumer spending fell 0.5 percent in September – the largest single month fall in nine months. While the overall economy grew in the quarter ending in September, government spending programs and other initiatives helped inflate the results, and once the programs wound down, consumers immediately cut back.

This is causing concern with economists who worry that the recovery could stall in the next quarter as consumers are still facing continuing unemployment and a growing foreclosure rate. For this reason, analysts warn that a “double-dip recession” cannot yet be ruled out.

Associated Press

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